As of Monday morning, the NOAA’s Storm Prediction Center has placed significant portions of Oklahoma and southern Kansas under a Level 5 risk—the highest in its tiered system—indicating a potential for violent tornadoes and large hail. This forecast is part of a broader severe weather pattern expected to affect the Mississippi and Ohio valleys by midweek.
Meteorologists are particularly concerned about the «perfect storm» conditions developing over the region. Warm, moist air from the Gulf of Mexico is colliding with a strong jet stream from the northwest, creating optimal conditions for supercell thunderstorms, which can spawn tornadoes after dark, increasing their hazard due to reduced visibility.
The immediate forecast suggests that Oklahoma could see unprecedented storm activity, reminiscent of the catastrophic tornado outbreaks of April 1991 and May 1999. The predicted conditions have even matched those observed during historical outbreaks, as noted by tornado forecasting software from Saint Louis University.
The severe weather threat poses significant disruptions to air travel, particularly in areas around major airports. Based on passenger volume, the most affected airports could include:
- Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport (DFW) – Located in Texas, DFW is not directly in the high-risk zone but may experience disruptions due to its proximity and the movement of weather systems.
- Will Rogers World Airport (OKC) – Situated in Oklahoma City, this airport lies in the heart of the warned area and is likely to face direct impacts from severe weather.
- Tulsa International Airport (TUL) – As with Oklahoma City, Tulsa’s airport is at significant risk of operational halts due to the forecasted severe conditions.
- Wichita Dwight D. Eisenhower National Airport (ICT) – Located in Wichita, Kansas, this airport could also experience severe weather impacts, including potential tornado threats.
Residents and travelers in the affected areas are advised to monitor weather updates and stay prepared for rapid changes in conditions. Emergency management officials recommend having a plan in place for seeking shelter and securing property.
